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Consumer & Distribution Utility Wise Comprehensive Track
Against the background of many positive changes in power sector, this dossier attempts to make a few analytical observations that are relevant for the states, their regulators and other stake holders in term of Power Distribution Tariffs for India – 2018
Examining the market expansion trends for petrochemical industry in India and the scope of business
It is pertinent to note that an investment to the tune of approximately USD 5.2 Billion, is what Indian refining industry is anticipating till 2020 in developing its brownfield refineries. In this line India’s largest downstream player, IOCL also plans to invest about USD 27 Billion in coming 5-7 years to expand its refining capacity from 80.7 MTPA to about 150 MTPA through both brownfield and greenfield capacity creation. Not only this, but the other dominant industry players such as BPCL, HPCL etc. are also not far behind in catching up the footprints of IOCL in this regard. For instance, BPCL has invested an amount of USD 2.5 Billion in an Integrated Refinery Expansion Project at its Kochi refinery. Like this, there are many examples indicating the market size expansion of India’s Brownfield Refinery segment.
Opportunity Tracker for EPC Companies, OEM’s, Package & Component Suppliers under Grid Up gradation, Rural Electrification and Renewable Energy Integration Initiative.
It seems that power industry in India is not done yet in gaining all the attention. Since, 2014 the industry has been into limelight, courtesy the initiatives taken by the Indian government. After, quite a good number of schemes, policies & reforms introduced into the sector over the short span of three years, the government still doesn’t seems satisfied as building upon the same continues. After UDAY, Saubhagya scheme is another more talked about fresh addition into the list. But, unlike UDAY which at large was dedicated to the distribution facet of power industry, Saubhagya Scheme is believed to touch the entire value chain catering all the three legs – generation, distribution & transmission . From gencos to power exchanges & traders, transmission utilities to discoms , OEMs to package & component suppliers to EPC players, Saubhagya Scheme opens up a wide opportunity zone for all. To tap this underlying opportunity on pan India as well as regional basis , enincon consulting attempts to come up with a in-depth research study onto the same.
Examining and Harnessing Opportunities under Transportation Projects – Roads & Highways, Power, Railways, MRTS, Airports, Ports, Irrigation, Education and Healthcare Segment in India
Of all the sectors within infrastructure, transport has received the highest sum in the 2017–18 budget — US$35 billion — much of it aimed at improving safety, cleanliness and comfort for rail passengers. Among the top priorities are a passenger safety fund, an end to unmanned level crossings on broad gauge lines, solar power for more than 7000 railway stations, bio-toilets in all coaches, and an extensive station development and refurbishment plan, including access for differently-abled people through elevators and escalators.
Mapping Regulation, Identifying Key Regulatory Gaps and Estimating Opportunities for Value Chain Players in Power Sector of India
Deep thinking on various aspects of policy and regulatory interventions and their long-term implications will help in taking informed decisions and contribute in developing the sector. Hence, for enabling the stakeholders to better understand the existing policy offering of the states for solar, wind, small hydro , biomass and thermal power segment , enincon has attempted to come with a fact pack on regulatory regime. The report is framed to study the power sector policies of major states in the northern, southern, western & eastern regions and to determine their impact on state’s overall power sector growth till FY 2022. The report also aims to find out the underlying investment opportunity & business potential in the states from conventional & RE power generation till FY 2022.
With Existing & Upcoming Terminal Project Profiling in India
India is set to see its demand for LNG to grow atleast two times from the current levels till 2022 and might hover around 33 MMTPA. Also, the import capacity of LNG in India is at the verge of expansion, as the same is expected to get to 47.5 million tonnes per annum (MTPA) by 2020 against 21.3 MTPA currently. To pull up the existing LNG terminal facilities in the country many of the private industry giants are participative enough.
Catalysing State wise business Opportunity for Developers, Funding Bodies & OEM’s with Project Player Profiles
Allotment of priority to wind power in terms of inter-state transmission shall see the stranded assets in the sector a silver lining and the sale through OA mechanism may also gain pace especially in the state’s where demand outshines supply in the country. This shall be of pinnacle interest for investors under the changing paradigm and change of winds experienced by the sector.
UDAY scheme was touted as the next paladin to bail out the struggling Discoms, in order to turn them green in a time horizon of 3-4 years from 2015/16. Though was optional for the states, as of now 27 States/UTs are on board and INR 2,32,163 Crore of bonds have been issued which accounts for 85% of the debt to be restructured under this scheme. The cumulative AT&C* Loss stands at 20.42% with ACS-ARR Gap of INR 0.45/kWh. Also, tariff revision of 25 states have been done out of participating states.
Determining Plug-in Opportunity for Value Chain Players
Although, the India’s EV market is at very nascent stage as of now, but the enablers given by the government are quite enough for it to grow for taking its first step. Glimpse of which can be very clearly seen with Tata’s of the world all set to reveal its first ever EV for Indian market during 2017 itself. However, with all the glaring opportunities, there still exist certain challenges for the growth of Indian EV market, one such being lack of lithium deposits. While this does present a challenge to setting up a viable battery manufacturing plant in India, it also means that companies must look for other options to power such vehicles. Although , currently the challenges seem to outweigh the opportunities in India but the right steps from government in sprucing up the support dynamics for EVs in India at distinct levels is anticipated to transform into a gripping opportunity galore in future.
Opportunity in Open Access Transaction and Short Term Power Purchase Agreements for Developers, Consumers and Traders in Wind Power Business of India
In recent step, regulatory commission allowed distribution utilities to renegotiate the long term PPAs to a lower degree of tariffs which is determined by reverse auction of the wind power tariffs. In recently held auction, sharp decline in the tariff of wind power was witnessed. The tariff fell close to INR 1-1.5 per Unit and reached a level of INR 3.46 per Unit, which is significantly lower than Feed in Tariffs of some states. It is also anticipated that wind power generators may further bid aggressively taking the tariff to sub INR 3 levels. These tariff levels will have the direct impact on the existing plants. Further, owing to such lower tariffs, distribution utilities can put a pressure on to generators to renegotiate PPAs or simply dishonour them. This issue is critical and long term PPAs can come under jeopardy, hence, the opportunity for the wind power developers lie in signing short term PPAs and selling power directly to the consumers through Open Access route.
Scaling Opportunities in Off-Grid & Decentralized Rooftop Applications
We at enincon consulting llp under our consistent endeavour delve deep to unearth the absolute value preposition of a designate market with intermittent opportunities and barriers to evolve correct and absolute guide for effective business decisions related to the likes of solar rooftop in India. Our analysts have attempted to design different scenarios and asses the opportunities which solar rooftop brings in terms of savings and T&D losses, land costing’s , storage loss levels and obviously lowered congestion in power transmission systems.
Gauging Support Matrix for Power Trading & Open Access Transactions with Regional Surplus/ Shortage Tracks
Since the current power transaction dynamics in the country is shaping up in favour of more open access transactions meaning a continued need for enabling power transmission infrastructure to felicitate what could be termed as “ True Open Access ” . In this milieu the role of not only the CTU and STU shall be important but also the participation on PPP basis by IPTCs shall be equally pivotal. Thus, there was an ardent need of a comprehensive analysis covering all the facets which offer opportunities in relation to the identified growth engine of current power sector in the country i.e. transmission segment.